FNUS71 KRNK 200212 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR LEE INCIDENT...USDA FS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 1012 PM EDT FRI AUG 19 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2200 EDT ON AUGUST 19. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH OVERALL DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT. COLD FRONT TO THE NORTH MAY PUSH A FEW SHOWERS SOUTH TOWARD THE HIGHLANDS OVERNIGHT BUT WILL LIKELY FADE OFF TO THE NORTH UPON APPROACH. OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH A TRAPPING INVERSION PRODUCING PLENTY OF FOG AS HUMIDITY LEVELS RISE OVERNIGHT. INVERSION SHOULD BREAK BY MID MORNING SATURDAY WITH INCREASING SUNSHINE...BUT ONLY LIGHT MIXING AS WINDS TURN FROM LIGHT NORTHERLY EARLY BACK TO THE SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN PRETTY LIGHT...MAINLY LESS THAN 10 MPH. OTHERWISE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED ON SATURDAY...WITH THE BEST CHANCES FOR WETTING RAINS FOUND ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE AND POINTS SOUTH. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL ENTER OUR REGION ON SUNDAY...WHICH WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR RAINFALL. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AS IT PASSES THROUGH OUR REGION SUNDAY EVENING...WHICH WILL RESULT IN A NORTHWEST SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE. AREAS OF FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............34 32 31 23 WEATHER COV......... PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE FOG TSTM COV............ TEMP................70 66 62 65 RH..................75 82 92 91 20 FT WIND..........N 1 NW 1 NW 0 N 0 20 FT WIND GUST..... EYE LEVEL WIND......N 1 NW 1 NW 0 N 0 EYE LVL WND GST..... CWR.................10 10 10 10 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH...INCREASING TO 1 TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............42 35 28 31 41 56 WEATHER COV.........AREAS AREAS S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........FOG FOG NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ S CHC S CHC TEMP................63 65 72 77 81 83 RH..................97 90 73 60 50 47 20 FT WIND..........N 0 N 0 N 1 NE 2 SE 4 SE 5 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 6 8 EYE LEVEL WIND......N 0 N 0 N 1 NE 1 SE 2 SE 3 EYE LVL WND GST..... 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 20 20 .SATURDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65. MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. CWR (0.01 IN).......20 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 3 MPH. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............60 57 53 49 48 49 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE TSTM COV............S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC TEMP................81 77 73 71 69 68 RH..................52 64 69 73 76 78 20 FT WIND..........S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 4 S 3 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 5 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 3 S 2 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 CWR.................20 20 20 20 10 10 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86. MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR (0.01 IN).......40 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 6 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING WEST 25 TO 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............51 55 62 69 73 74 WEATHER COV......... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................66 68 74 79 82 84 RH..................82 81 69 61 54 52 20 FT WIND..........S 2 S 3 SW 5 W 6 W 6 W 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 10 15 15 15 EYE LEVEL WIND......S 2 S 2 SW 4 W 5 W 4 W 5 EYE LVL WND GST.....5 5 10 10 10 10 CWR.................10 30 30 30 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...HUDGINS REQUESTED BY...ZAC PENNINGTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110819.LEEIN.01/RNK