FNUS73 KDLH 201957
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK FIRE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
257 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1431 CDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WILL DECREASE TO 5 MPH
AND LESS BY 6 PM. A BRIEF SCATTERED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM REMAINS
POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. WINDS WILL BE VARIABLE AND
GUST TO 25 PMH IN ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOMEWHAT SIMILAR
CONDITIONS EXIST FOR SUNDAY WITH THE WINDS COMING FROM A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (49500) DECREASING TO POOR (1050) IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............64     56     52     50     49     48
RH..............52     69     80     86     83     86
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..5      5      3      2      1      0
20 FT WIND GUST.7      6

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (153400).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............47     55     62     67     70     69
RH..............96     74     56     43     36     36
20 FT WIND DIR..W      NW     NW     NW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1      4      7      9      8      6
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      9      15     14     8

$$
FORECASTER...KEVIN
REQUESTED BY...FIRE MANAGEMENT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110820.PAGAM.01/DLH