FNUS75 KGJT 211155
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SALLYS HOLLOW...USFS - MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
555 AM MDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2144 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

* NOTE:  PLEASE SUBMIT THE SPOT REQUEST ON THE DAY YOU WANT THE
FORECAST TO BEGIN BY ADJUSTING THE CALENDAR DATE BEFORE ENTERING
THE INFORMATION ON THE REQUEST FORM. THANKS *


.DISCUSSION...THE MONSOON MOISTURE FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY...
CAUSING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND NEAR THE
FIRE SITE TODAY THROUGH THE EVENING. THE MONSOON PLUME WILL SHIFT
WEST AND SOUTH OF THE AREA MONDAY...THUS STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL
DECREASE.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AT 4-7 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 1000 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH BY 2100. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EVENING.
CLEARING INDEX......250 DECREASING TO 50 IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNITL 1000...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AT 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 750.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...SALLYS HOLLOW FEMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110820.SALLY.02/GJT