FNUS74 KMAF 210304 FWSMAF SPOT FORECAST FOR CROOKED COMPLEX...NMADC NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 1004 PM CDT SAT AUG 20 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2031 MDT ON AUGUST 20. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER. .DISCUSSION... SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS APPROACHING FROM THE SOUTH ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SIGNIFICANTLY AS THEY PASS THE FIRE SITE...THOUGH INFREQUENT LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD MOVE NORTH OF THE FIRE SITE BY 930 PM MDT. DUE TO THE RELATIVELY LIGHT NATURE OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY...WINDS WILL BE ERRADIC BUT GENERALLY UNDER 20 MPH IN GUSTS. OTHERWISE...THE SHOWERS WILL HELP BRING DOWN TEMPERATURES AND PUSH UP RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. GOOD RECOVERY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVERNIGHT 65 TO 70 PERCENT. WITH THE PASSAGE OF SHOWER ACTIVITY BY 10 PM MDT...WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AT AROUND 10 MPH FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY ERRADIC WINDS POSSIBLE. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS EXPECTED TO DROP TO 28 PERCENT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 MPH IN THE MORNING WILL GRADUALLY BACK TO THE SOUTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. .REST OF TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68. MAX HUMIDITY........64 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT). TIME (MDT) 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....40 20 10 10 10 TEMP............75 73 71 70 69 RH..............54 56 58 60 62 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 10 11 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W W TRANS WIND SPD..8 8 9 7 7 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 3 3 .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92. MIN HUMIDITY........27 PCT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW). CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (34200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (156700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM CHC PCPN (%)....20 20 20 20 20 20 TEMP............68 72 80 87 91 91 RH..............63 56 41 32 28 28 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S SE SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 14 15 15 20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 5500 10500 10500 13000 TRANS WIND DIR..W W S S S S TRANS WIND SPD..7 7 7 13 13 12 VENT CAT........POOR POOR POOR VYGOOD VYGOOD EXCLNT HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110820.CROOK.01/MAF