FNUS75 KCYS 220440
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR SQUAW MTN FIRE...CASPER DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
1040 PM MDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2205 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS AT THE BURN SITE WILL INCREASE
OVERNIGHT TO 8 TO 12 MPH AS THE LEESIDE PRESSURE TROUGH DEEPENS
AND DRAINAGE FLOW INCREASES. THIS COULD MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERY
OVERNIGHT...ALTHOUGH STILL EXPECT GOOD RECOVERIES. MONDAY WILL BE
VERY WARM WITH DRY CONDITIONS. BREEZY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE MORNING WITH SOME GUSTS INTO THE MID 20 MPH RANGE IN THE EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL DECREASE IN THE LATER AFTERNOON. TUESDAY
WILL AGAIN BE VERY WARM AND DRY WITH HUMIDITIES DROPPING TO THE
LOW TO MID TEENS. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN BE BREEZY WITH GUSTS
INTO THE UPPER 20 MPH RANGE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58 TO 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    8 TO 12 MPH BY 0500.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1700-55500 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89 TO 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 23 MPH
                    THROUGH 1400...DIMINISHING THROUGH THE LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (74300-146000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...MAZUR
REQUESTED BY...RON GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110821.SQUAW.02/CYS