FNUS73 KDLH 212050
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
350 PM CDT SUN AUG 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1528 CDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ARROWHEAD OF MINNESOTA
THROUGH THIS EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD BECOME
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER THERE COULD BE LOCALIZED
THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL BE MAINLY DRY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND
ON MONDAY AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE GREAT LAKES
REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (113100).

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM 6PM
TEMP............67  67  67
RH..............38  38  40
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.8   6   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (75000) DECREASING TO POOR (2500).

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
TEMP............66     59     52     49     46     46
RH..............43     52     71     80     89     93
20 FT WIND DIR..N      W      W      SW     S      S
20 FT WIND SPD..2      4      3      1      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000) INCREASING TO FAIR (25000).

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............48     59     68     72     74     75
RH..............89     64     51     49     48     48
20 FT WIND DIR..S      S      S      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..1      2      4      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      7      8      8

$$
FORECASTER...ROMAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE TEETER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110821.PAGAM.01/DLH