FNUS75 KMSO 222021
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK LOST CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
221 PM MDT MON AUG 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1343 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NEARBY OBSERVATIONS SUGGEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ON
YOUR FIRE ANYTIME. AS THIS OCCURS THE HUMIDITY WILL DROP
DRAMATICALLY AS WELL...TO VALUES SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT MAIN
IMPLICATION APPEARS TO BE KEEPING WINDS GUSTY WELL INTO THE
EVENING. THIS WILL LIMIT RH RECOVERIES TONIGHT...BUT THE AIR MASS
MOVING IN FOR TUESDAY WILL BE COOLER AND MORE MOIST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
     VALLEY/MIDSLOPE...BECOMING WEST 7-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
     RIDGES............SOUTHWEST 10-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH
                    TOP OF FIRE. BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY AND COOLER.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 8-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...WHITMORE
REQUESTED BY...GREG ARCHIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110822.SOUTH.01/MSO