FNUS72 KJAX 232105
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOGPIN...USDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
505 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1641 EDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PUSHED WEST AND SOUTH OF THE WILDFIRE
LOCATION. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL QUICKLY TRANSITION BACK TO PARTLY
SUNNY SKIES. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL DROP A LITTLE AS THE SUN COMES
BACK OUT BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW 65 PERCENT PRIOR TO SUNSET.
WINDS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY LIGHT AND OUT OF THE NORTHEAST...HOWEVER...
LOCAL EFFECTS FROM NEARBY OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL BE POSSIBLE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM
SKY (%).........54
WEATHER COV.....SLIGHT CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM
TEMP............85
RH..............65
20 FT WIND......NE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10
MIX HGT (FT)....1200
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10
DISPERSION INDX.25
CHC OF PCPN (%).10
LAL.............1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........44     44     44     32     32
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE
TEMP............82     78     76     75     73
RH..............74     82     85     89     94
20 FT WIND......E 7    E 6    E 5    NE 3   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....1600   1600   900    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10   E 10   NE 7   NE 5   NE 5
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100-6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...PETE MYERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110823.HOGPI.01/JAX