FNUS75 KBYZ 241720
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULL...USFS - BZC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1120 AM MDT WED AUG 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1105 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...INCREASED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...

A WEAK DISTURBANCE NOW IN IDAHO MAY CLIP THE FIRE SITE LATE TODAY
INTO THE EVENING PRODUCING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM NEAR
THE FIRE. OTHERWISE...DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES
CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY. WE ARE ANTICIPATING A SOMEWHAT STRONGER
DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE FIRE SITE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INCREASING
THE POTENTIAL FOR DRY AND WET MICROBURSTS. BT


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.ERRATIC GUSTY WIND POSSIBLE NEAR STORMS.              THE AFTE
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-81.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......UPSLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND NEAR STORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY...TURNING DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY
                    3-7 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE BY NOON.
                    THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY
                    WINDS.
CWR.................23 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...CRISTI HEANEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110824.BULL_.01/BYZ