FNUS75 KGJT 241821
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DOE CANYON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1221 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1155 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT WEATHER
FEATURE THROUGH THURSDAY. A WEAK EMBEDDED DISTURBANCE WILL CROSS
THE AREA LATE TODAY HELPING TRIGGER SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. WEAK
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL LIMIT SMOKE DISPERSION DESPITE GOOD AFTERNOON
LOFT. MODERATE TO STRONG SURFACE INVERSION WILL FORM TONIGHT ONCE
THE CONVECTION DIES.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) UNTIL 1400...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 14000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 MPH
                    BY 1400.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70%) UNTIL 2100...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........20-25% AT 1800...45% AT 2100...MAX 61-66%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL AT 1800...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    5 MPH BY 2200.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. OCCASIONAL
                    SOUTHWEST 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1500.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110824.DOECA.01/GJT