FNUS75 KGJT 250212
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAMBRITO 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
812 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1942 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR THE BURN SITE WILL SLOWLY COME
TO AN END THOUGH A SMALL CHANCE REMAINS FOR A STRAY SHOWER TO
FORM AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL BUT
TOMORROW A LARGE SURGE OF MOISTURE WILL MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS WILL CAUSE INCREASED CLOUDS...STORMS AND RAINFALL OVER THE
BURN SITE. EXPECT CUMULUS TO START BUILDING BY NOON WITH STORMS
AND RAIN STARTING BETWEEN NOON AND 1PM. THE CLOUDS AND HIGH
PRESSURE WILL KEEP SMOKE DISPERSAL POOR THOUGH ANY RAIN OR STORMS
THAT FORM OVER THE BURN SITE WILL BRING SMOKE DISPERSAL TO GOOD
UNTIL IT ENDS. STORMS THAT FORM WILL ALSO BE SLOW MOVERS SO IF
ONE SETS UP OVER BURN SITE...A GOOD SOAKING IS POSSIBLE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR.
CLEARING INDEX......650 DECREASING TO 50 AFTER 11PM.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL AFTER
                    11PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR BY 1PM.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 550.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60%) AFTER MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING POOR AFTER 11PM.
CLEARING INDEX......550 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........3.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110824.SAMBR.01/GJT