FNUS75 KGJT 250243
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST HORSECORN...UT-UOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
843 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2021 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO EASTERN UTAH ON THURSDAY AS WINDS
TURN MORE SOUTHERLY. THIS SHOULD IN TURN LEAD TO AN INCREASE IN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
ON THURSDAY. GUSTY WINDS CAN AGAIN BE EXPECTED...BUT WITH ADDITIONAL
MOISTURE THE CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION ON FRIDAY AND RECYCLE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION SO FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WILL BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAY WITH AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........18 TO 23%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 850 BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING TO 10600 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60 TO 65 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE AT 5 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER SUNSET. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH MID EVENING THEN DROPPING TO
                    POOR.
CLEARING INDEX......AROUND 500 BY MID EVENING THEN DROPPING TO
                    50 AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3 IN THE EVENING THEN DROPPING TO 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO LESS THAN 2000 FEET AFTER SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MATT YAZZI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110824.WESTH.01/GJT