FNUS75 KMSO 250328
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUTZ
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
928 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2033 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BE THE MAIN STORY FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. VERY DRY LOW LEVELS WILL RESULT IN LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
ERRATIC WINDS BEING THE MAIN IMPACTS TONIGHT AND AGAIN THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN ALLOWING RAIN TO
REACH THE SURFACE...BUT ONLY RECEIVE WETTING RAINS DIRECTLY UNDER
STRONGER CELLS. INCREASED CLOUDS TONIGHT WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
UP...BUT RECOVERIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN POOR. ANOTHER WARM DAY
THURSDAY AS THERMAL BOUNDARY BUILDS OVER THE FIRE. MINIMUM
HUMIDITIES WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH INCREASED CLOUDS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 0200 MDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH. ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35
                    MPH NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTIAL CLEARING MID MORNING THAN MOSTLY CLOUDY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE EARLY MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    STORMS MAINLY AFTER AFTER 1400 MDT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH
                    NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 9-12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...DIANA ALLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110824.LUTZ_.01/MSO