FNUS75 KBYZ 260230
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE FORK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
830 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2001 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.


.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE SITE DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOT WITH VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10-20 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEARBY MOUNTAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL APPROACH THE SITE LATE IN
THE EVENING. STRONG WIND GUSTS AROUND 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM
THESE STORMS. WINDS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY STRONG
OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY AT RIDGETOP LEVEL...AS A LOW-LEVEL JET
FORMS OVER THE SITE. RECOVERIES WILL BE SOMEWHAT POOR.
THEREFORE...FIRE BEHAVIOR MAY STAY ELEVATED THROUGH THE NIGHT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY DAWN. BRS

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR/SCHUKNECHT
REQUESTED BY...GILLESPIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.LITTL.01/BYZ