FNUS75 KBYZ 260130
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILL...MILES CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
730 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1852 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE THREAT OF LIGHTNING AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DECREASED THIS
EVENING AND THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL BE CANCELLED WITHIN THE
NEXT HOUR OR TWO. A FEW HIGH BASED CONVECTIVE CELLS MAY MOVE INTO
THE FIRE SITE VICINITY LATE THIS EVENING OR A LITTLE AFTER
MIDNIGHT...BUT ONLY PRODUCE A LIGHT SHOWER OR SPRINKLES WITH
LOCAL WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH...AND LITTLE IF ANY LIGHTNING
EXPECTED. WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL OTHERWISE BE LIGHT AND
DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY. EASTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY AROUND THE
FIRE. RH READINGS WILL DROP INTO THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. NEWEST COMPUTER MODEL RUNS INDICATING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER THE FIRE SITE TOMORROW EVENING BETWEEN
9 PM AND MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER...MODELS ARE NOT HANDLING PLACEMENT OF
STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS VERY WELL SO CONFIDENCE IS BELOW NORMAL
AS TO WHERE STRONGEST STORMS WILL TRACK. AT ANY RATE TOMORROW
EVENING BEARS WATCHING CLOSELY FOR POTENTIALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. BT


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS OR THUNDERSHOWER
                    POSSIBLE LATE EVENING OR OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................8 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1-8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......DOWNSLOPE/VALLEY OR LIGHT 3 TO 7 MPH. A FEW GUSTS
                    TO 20-30 MPH BY ANY OVERNIGHT SHOWERS OR THUNDERSHOWERS.
RIDGETOP............NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........62-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...KELLY ACREE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.MILL_.02/BYZ