FNUS75 KBYZ 251659
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WATER HOLE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
1059 AM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1038 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...

SEVERAL WEATHER DISTURBANCES WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FIRE SITE TODAY
AND WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY IS ALREADY DEVELOPING SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE AREA AND
WILL BE MOVING THROUGH DURING THE NEXT HOUR. LIGHT RAIN CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STORMS ALONG WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.
INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND SOME CLOUD COVER WILL ALLOW FOR
RH'S TO FALL ONLY INTO THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20 PERCENT RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE INTO THE EVENING HOURS. SLIGHTLY BETTER RH RECOVERIES
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ON
FRIDAY WITH WINDS BECOMING EAST AT 5 TO 15 MPH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME
                    THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE MORNING SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY
                    PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................13 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........EAST 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...RICHMOND
REQUESTED BY...BGIERSDORF FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.WATER.01/BYZ