FNUS75 KGJT 252116
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAMBRITO 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
316 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1441 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN NEW MEXICO
SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA SHOULD CONTINUE SLOWING MOVING TO THE NORTH
THROUGH EVENING. MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE GUSTY
WINDS...LOCALLY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN...AND LIGHTNING. MODERATE
TO STRONG SURFACE INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED FRIDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1700...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-86 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 13 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80%) UNTIL 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-75%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH UNTIL 2000...THEN DOWNSLOPE 5 MPH.
                    ERRATIC WIND GUSTS 30 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR BECOMING POOR BY 2200.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH AFTER
                    2000.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) UNTIL 1300...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-4 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 3 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH 7 MPH AFTER 1200..

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.SAMBR.01/GJT