FNUS72 KMFL 251053
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHANTY...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
653 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0710 EDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE INCREASING FROM NORTH TO NORTHWEST TO 15 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUST UP TO 30 MPH BY LATE IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD AFFECT THE FIRE SITE ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 28 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16 INCREASING TO 79.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........36     47     57     60     60     60
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............80     88     91     91     87     86
RH..............87     67     58     57     61     63
20 FT WIND......N 11   N 11   N 14   N 14   N 14   NW 14
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     30     30     30
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 11   N 11   N 14   N 14   N 14   NW 14
EYE LEVEL WIND..25     25     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   4000   5000   5000   4500   4400
MIXNG WIND......N 21   N 21   N 25   N 28   N 28   NW 26
DISPERSION IDX..57     57     77     81     81     77
LVORI...........2      2      2      2      2      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     50     50     50     50     50
LAL.............2      1      1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 9 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800-1400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 14 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 13.
LVORI...............4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 63 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 76 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 64.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...GARCIA
REQUESTED BY...CLAYTON CAMBLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110825.SHANT.01/MFL