FNUS75 KMSO 252205
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR LUTZ
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
405 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1538 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO BUILD TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FIRE BUT THERE IS STILL THE CHANCE FOR THESE STORMS TO FILL IN AND
POSSIBLY AFFECT THE SITE THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORMS SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED...WITH THEIR DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED TO STEADILY DECREASE AS
WE LOSE SUNLIGHT AND DAYTIME HEATING. CLOUDS SHOULD ALSO STEADILY
DECREASE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ONCE THUNDERSTORMS SHUT
OFF...WITH A PLEASANT START TO THE DAY ON FRIDAY. EXPECT ANOTHER
CHANCE...THOUGH SLIGHT...FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS CONDITIONS DESTABILIZE.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND DRY THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AROUND 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS 12-15 MPH.
                    STRONGER ERRATIC GUSTS LIKELY IN VICINITY
                    OF PASSING STORMS. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT
                    OUT OF THE NORTH BY LATER THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........51-58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7-9 MPH...BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY TO START...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 6-9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEGRETTO
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT ZIEL  FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.LUTZ_.02/MSO