FNUS71 KRNK 251328 FWSRNK SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK CREEK...FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA 928 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0910 EDT ON AUGUST 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION INTO EARLY EVENING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. SURFACE WINDS OUTSIDE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL ALSO INCREASE...TO AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND MORE SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............67 75 82 82 75 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV............ISOLTD CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY TEMP................69 75 81 82 80 RH..................89 73 58 55 58 20 FT WIND..........W 2 W 5 W 8 W 10 W 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 18 20 15 CWR.................30 40 60 60 60 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG LATE. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62. MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CWR (0.01 IN).......60 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 0 TO 1 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............70 59 59 59 58 57 WEATHER COV.........LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC PATCHY WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE FOG TSTM COV............LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE TEMP................80 74 70 68 66 65 RH..................63 75 83 90 94 95 20 FT WIND..........W 5 W 1 W 1 W 1 W 1 N 1 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 CWR.................60 30 30 20 10 10 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85. MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CWR (0.01 IN).......30 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............56 46 49 53 58 67 WEATHER COV.........PATCHY ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE........FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR TSTM COV............ TEMP................63 66 73 78 82 83 RH..................98 92 75 66 60 58 20 FT WIND..........NE 1 N 2 N 2 N 2 NW 1 N 2 20 FT WIND GUST..... 5 5 5 CWR.................10 10 10 10 10 20 $$ FORECASTER...JACKSON REQUESTED BY...PATTY FELTON TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110825.LICKC.01/RNK