FNUS73 KUNR 260128
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROURKE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
728 PM MDT THU AUG 25 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1348 MDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...THE THREAT FOR DRY LIGHTNING IS DIMINISHING ACROSS
THE REGION EARLY THIS EVENING. SHOWERS CROSSING THE BIGHORNS ARE
SHOWING VERY LITTLE LIGHTNING AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...ANY SHOWERS
MAY PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES STILL
EXPECTED TO BE POOR TONIGHT. MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRY AGAIN ON
FRIDAY...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY NIGHT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63.
RH..................MAX 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT NORTHEAST
                    LATE.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2. ISOLATED 6 UNTIL 2200.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 TO 700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90.
RH..................MIN 20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING EXCELLENT.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY AND BREEZY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...BK411
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110825.ROURK.01/UNR