FNUS73 KAPX 262320
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MANITOU LAKE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
720 PM EDT FRI AUG 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1905 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FAST-MOVING COOL FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES TONIGHT. A COUPLE SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT
...MAINLY NORTH OF M-32. SATURDAY WILL BEGIN AN EXTENDED STRETCH
OF VERY LITTLE OR NO RAINFALL...AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY
SLIDES THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.

TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT...
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY VEER TO NORTH AND
NORTHEAST SUNDAY. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE DRY BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY AFTERNOONS (35-40 PERCENT). MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE
RELATIVELY HIGH...ESPECIALLY SUNDAY.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR
                    (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN GOOD(400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-4000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 16 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........4   0   0   0   6   6   6   9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............68  69  69  69  69  70  70  70  70  70  70  69  67  66  64  62  61  60  59  59
RH..............73  70  66  63  61  57  55  55  55  55  55  55  56  56  63  67  70  72  72  72
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..10  9   9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5
SMOKE DISP......400 400 500 600 700 700 700 600 700 800 800 700 600 500 500 500 500 500 500 500

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........12     3      3      3      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     61     65     68     70     71
RH..............75     72     68     61     53     49
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 7   NE 7   N 7    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      3      3      4      5      5
SMOKE DISP......500    500    500    400    300    300

$$
FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL GRISMER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110826.MANIT.01/APX