FNUS75 KGJT 261922
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SALLYS HOLLOW...USFS - MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
122 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1300 MDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LARGE UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED NEAR
THE FOUR CORNERS THROUGH SATURDAY FOR LIGHT AND OFTEN VARIABLE WINDS
AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT. DAYTIME HEATING WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON
AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE MOUNTAINS. MOST
STORMS SHOULD REMAIN ANCHORED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN UNTIL LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...BUT
STILL CLOSE ENOUGH TO POSE A LIGHTNING DANGER.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...FORMING OVER THE HIGHER
                    TERRAIN WEST OF THE BURN SITE THEN SLOWLY
                    DRIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST SHIFTING OCCASIONALLY TO SOUTHWEST
                    5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......750.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CLEARING INDEX......550 DECREASING TO 50.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50%) UNTIL 1230...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORM UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......50 INCREASING TO 650 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH SHIFTING T0 THE
                    NORTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110826.SALLY.02/GJT