FNUS75 KRIW 270016
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOTORN POINT...USDA - FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
616 PM MDT FRI AUG 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1735 MDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A TRAIN OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING OVER TOGWOTEE
PASS WILL CONTINUE PUSH ACROSS MAINLY THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FIRE
THROUGH 2030L THIS EVENING.  EXPECT ANOTHER 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF
RAINFALL ON THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FIRE.  MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL
CONTINUE TO ROTATE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY. AFTER 2030L
THIS EVENING ACTIVITY WILL BECOME ISOLATED...THEN EXPECT ANOTHER
ROUND OF STORMS TO BLOSSOM IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SATURDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. THE AIRMASS WILL DRY OUT SOMEWHAT TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA ON THURSDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH 2030L THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL DOMINATE
                    THROUGH 2100L.  BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BETWEEN
                    2100L AND MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL DOMINATE
                    THROUGH 2100L.  BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BETWEEN
                    2100L AND MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (6100
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH 1000L THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1100L BECOMING
                    WIDELY SCATTERED AFTER 1500L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST
                    AROUND 1000L.  CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW WINDS WILL
                    BECOME INCREASINGLY DOMINATE AFTER 1500L.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100-8100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (55000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (117300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AREAS OF SMOKE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 68.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.


$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...ANGIE FOSTER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110826.NOTOR.01/RIW