FNUS75 KTFX 271006
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK PARK...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
406 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2204 MDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY...

.DISCUSSION...

VERY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY WITH INCREASING
WESTERLY WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON CREATING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
A FEW CUMULUS WILL BUILD LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM
CANNOT BE RULED OUT THIS EVENING...HOWEVER MOISTURE IS VERY LIMITED.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AND A WEAK/DRY COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT...BRINGING A SHIFT
TO NORTHERLY WINDS BY SUNDAY MORNING ALONG WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A CHANCE
FOR LATE DAY THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO REACH THE AREA WEDNESDAY...BRINGING MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND A BETTER CHANCE OF MORE WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CUMULUS DEVELOPING INT HE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................ZERO.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
RIDGE TOP WIND......WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY....BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WIND......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...HOENISCH
REQUESTED BY...MARC HAMLEN  IC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110826.ELKPA.02/TFX