FNUS75 KGJT 271840
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LADORE...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1240 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1215 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABUNDANT MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...AT THE
SAME TIME A WEATHER DISTURBANCE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL UTAH IS
APPROACHING NORTHWESTERN COLORADO. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL HELP
TRIGGER AFTERNOON AND NIGHTTIME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR OR
OVER THE BURN SITE. NO BIG CHANGES ARE SEEN SUNDAY AS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY REMAIN OVER THE REGION.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-91 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE WINDS 4-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR (3500 KNOT-FT) AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700-13200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MIKE CHAMBERLAIN
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110827.LADOR.01/GJT