FNUS75 KGJT 272335
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAMBRITO 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
535 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1646 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES OR HUMIDITIES IS
EXPECTED. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME UNSTABLE EACH AFTERNOON AND
PRODUCE A SIMILAR LEVEL OF THUNDERSTORMS AS HAPPENED TODAY (SATURDAY).
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH LIGHT
WINDS ALOFT AND MAINLY TERRAIN DOMINATED WINDS AT THE SURFACE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) AFTER 2100. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-5900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) UNTIL 1200 THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. OCCASIONAL NORTHWEST
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600-5900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD (120600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.


.SUNDAY TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%) UNTIL 2100 THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........64-69%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH SHIFTING TO DOWNSLOPE/
                    DOWNVALLEY AFTER 2100. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5200-12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%) AFTER 1200. SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000-6200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
                    (68700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11400 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE AND RH. EXPECT
                    SIMILAR AREAL COVERAGE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
                    TRANSPORT WINDS WILL REMAIN WEST TO NORTHWEST
                    AND LIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...DURANGO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110827.SAMBR.01/GJT