FNUS75 KGJT 272304 FWSGJT SPOT FORECAST FOR THOMAS LAKES INCIDENT...PCSO NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO 504 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1620 MDT ON AUGUST 27. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A WET AIR MASS SITS OVER THE REGION. ANY STORMS THAT PASS OVER...OR DEVELOP OVER THE THOMAS LAKE OR MOUNT SOPRIS AREAS COULD RESULT IN HEAVY RAIN AS STORM MOTION HAS GENERALLY BEEN SLOW. STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT...BUT A FEW NOCTURNAL STORMS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. .THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING (UNTIL MIDNIGHT)... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES........LOWERING FROM 70-75 F AT 5 PM TO 60-65 F AT SUNSET...THEN NEAR 55 AT MIDNIGHT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......GENERALLY NORTH WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1900... THEN BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. HOWEVER WINDS WILL OFTEN BE DOMINATED BY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOWS. THESE OUTFLOW WINDS CAN BE 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH OR STRONGER...AND VARIABLE OR ERRATIC IN DIRECTION. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH. AGAIN TRANSPORT WINDS MAY AT TIMES BE DOMINATED BY THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW WINDS. .OVERNIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) UNTIL AROUND 0200...THEN DECREASING CLOUDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DECREASING AND BECOMING ISOLATED BY 0200. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 0-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN REQUESTED BY...DEPUTY GEORGE KREMER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110827.THOMA.01/GJT