FNUS75 KMSO 271917
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARIANA 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
117 PM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1251 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LATE DAY WINDS MIXING TO THE SURFACE WILL BE THE
IMPACT TO THE FIRE TODAY. GIVEN THE WEST TO EAST DRAINAGE JUST
SOUTH OF THE FIRE...THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE
FIRE...BUT WILL BE MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST DIRECTION AS IT CHANNELS
UP THE CANYON. THE WINDS WILL DECOUPLE QUICKLY WITH SUNSET THIS
EVENING AND THERMAL BELTS WILL DEVELOP OVERNIGHT. THE FIRE IS
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE THERMAL BELT FOR CONTINUED POOR RECOVERIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-11 MPH AND
                    BREEZY IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY AFTER 1630 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-5 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.SUNDAY...

HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...JAMEY GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110827.ARIAN.01/MSO