FNUS75 KMSO 271644
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST FORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
1044 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0910 PDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL JET ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK WEATHER
DISTURBANCE WILL BRING WINDS/CLOUDS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
THE FIRE TODAY. THE INCREASED CLOUDS MAY INHIBIT THE WINDS FROM
MIXING TO THE LOWER ELEVATIONS...BUT THE TOP OF THE FIRE SHOULD
SEE WINDS DEVELOP BY 1300 MDT. THE CLOUDS WILL ALSO INCREASE MIN
HUMIDITIES TODAY. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER OVERNIGHT
INHIBITING THERMAL BELT DEVELOPMENT. SUNDAY WILL SEE SIMILAR
CONDITIONS AS ANOTHER WAVE APPROACHES...BUT WINDS WILL BE LESS AND
TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN CLOUDS INCREASING AFTER 1200 MDT.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    MAINLY AFTER 1600 MDT.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 BOTTOM...76-81 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT BOTTOM...25-30 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........BASE...UPSLOPE 2-5 MPH. TOP OF THE FIRE...WEST
                    4-6 MPH INCREASING TO 8-12 MPH AFTER 1300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING...ENDING AFTER 2000 MDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT BOTTOM...49-54 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE 2-5 MPH AFTER 1900 MDT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87 BOTTOM...71-76 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT BOTTOM...32-37 PERCENT TOP.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 2-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...VICKY  SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110827.EASTF.01/MSO