FNUS75 KRIW 271634
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1034 AM MDT SAT AUG 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON AUGUST 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE LITTLE TREND IN TEMPERATURE AND RH AT THE FIRE TODAY.
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE RATHER LIGHT AND MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN UNLESS
A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPS NEARBY.

A DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING WIDELY SCATTERED AFTER 3 PM. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE BY EARLY
EVENING WITH THE BEST SHOT OF THUNDERSTORMS BETWEEN 6 PM AND
MIDNIGHT. HOWEVER... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
EVEN AFTER MIDNIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASINGLY BECOME OUTFLOW
DOMINATED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...AS THE AREA BECOMES
AFFECTED BY THUNDERSTORMS.

WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
SUNDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY COOLER...RH A BIT HIGHER
THAN WHAT OCCURS TODAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ALLEN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    11 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). WIDELY SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........58-61 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS
AROUND 12 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE WENGERT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110827.PINEC.01/RIW