FNUS75 KBOU 281601 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGS PEAK SAR...NPS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1001 AM MDT SUN AUG 28 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA...WITH MOISTURE UNDER THE RIDGE. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN COLORADO WILL DEVELOP EASTWARD INTO THE PARK BY EARLY AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE A WARM DAY IN LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE PARK. THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING THIS EVENING. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....62 ABOVE TREELINE...NEAR 78 BELOW 9000 FEET. MAX RH..............40%-50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHEAST. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....45 ABOVE TREELINE...55 BELOW 9000 FEET. MAX HUMIDITY........83%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 5-6 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0-4 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 1200-1800 FT AGL UNTIL 2400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0400...THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 ABOVE TREELINE...NEAR 75 BELOW 9000 FEET. MIN HUMIDITY........59%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR LONGSPEAK SAR. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 08/28-09 50 10 2 51 59 NW 5 5 3 2 W 7 961 NW 5 3853 P 08/28-10 50 10 2 55 49 N 5 5 3 2 W 8 1755 N 3 5265 P 08/28-11 50 10 2 58 43 NE 3 3 3 2 W 8 2548 N 3 6678 P 08/28-12 72 41 18 59 42 NE 3 3 3 4 W 8 3341 NE 2 8091 P 08/28-13 72 41 18 60 40 NE 3 3 3 4 W 7 3908 NE 2 8896 P 08/28-14 72 41 18 59 43 NE 5 5 3 4 W 6 4475 NE 2 9701 P 08/28-15 72 41 18 61 41 NE 5 5 3 4 W 5 5042 NE 2 10506 P 08/28-16 72 41 18 61 43 E 5 5 3 4 W 6 5490 N 2 7989 P 08/28-17 72 41 18 58 49 E 3 3 3 4 W 8 5937 CALM 5471 P 08/28-18 70 41 18 61 46 E 3 3 3 4 W 9 6385 CALM 2954 P 08/28-19 70 41 18 58 50 E 2 2 3 4 W12 5112 CALM 3300 P 08/28-20 70 41 18 56 55 SE 2 2 3 4 W13 3838 CALM 3645 P 08/28-21 70 41 18 54 58 S 2 2 3 4 W13 2565 SW 2 3991 P 08/28-22 70 41 18 53 61 SE 3 3 3 4 W14 1876 S 3 3510 P 08/28-23 70 41 18 52 64 SE 5 5 3 4 W14 1187 S 5 3030 P 08/29-00 58 24 5 50 69 SE 6 6 3 3 W14 498 SE 6 2549 P 08/29-01 58 24 5 48 73 SE 5 5 3 3 W14 637 SE 6 2892 P 08/29-02 58 24 5 47 76 S 3 3 2 3 W15 776 S 5 3236 P 08/29-03 58 24 5 46 79 S 2 2 2 3 W15 915 S 5 3579 P 08/29-04 58 24 5 46 80 S 3 3 2 3 W15 690 S 5 2805 P 08/29-05 58 24 5 46 82 SW 5 5 3 3 NW16 466 SW 6 2031 P 08/29-06 57 20 4 46 83 W 6 6 3 3 NW16 241 W 6 1257 P 08/29-07 57 20 4 46 83 W 6 6 3 3 NW16 704 W 6 4078 P 08/29-08 57 20 4 49 78 W 6 6 3 3 NW16 1168 W 7 6900 P 08/29-09 57 20 4 52 73 W 5 5 3 3 NW16 1632 W 7 9721 P 08/29-10 57 20 4 55 69 W 3 3 3 3 NW15 2249 W 7 14303 P 08/29-11 57 20 4 56 66 W 3 3 3 3 W15 2867 W 7 18884 P 08/29-12 73 30 9 58 63 SW 3 3 3 4 W15 3484 W 8 23466 P 08/29-13 73 30 9 59 61 W 5 5 3 4 W16 3888 W12 41414 F 08/29-14 73 30 9 59 60 W 7 7 3 4 W17 4292 W15 59362 F 08/29-15 73 30 9 60 59 W 8 8 3 4 W20 4697 W18 77310 G 08/29-16 73 30 9 60 62 W 8 8 3 4 W22 4120 W17 64861 G 08/29-17 73 30 9 59 67 W 8 8 4 4 W25 3543 W16 52412 F 08/29-18 73 30 9 59 68 W 8 8 4 4 W28 2967 W15 39963 P 08/29-19 73 30 9 57 68 W 8 8 4 4 W29 2409 W15 31739 P 08/29-20 73 30 9 55 67 W 7 7 3 4 W29 1851 W14 23515 P 08/29-21 73 30 9 53 64 W 7 7 3 4 W29 1294 W14 15291 P 08/29-22 73 30 9 52 63 W 8 8 3 4 W28 964 W13 11238 P 08/29-23 73 30 9 51 63 W 9 9 3 4 W28 634 W13 7185 P 08/30-00 37 0 0 49 64 W10 10 3 1 W26 304 W12 3132 P 08/30-01 37 0 0 48 64 W10 10 3 1 W25 273 W12 2830 P 08/30-02 37 0 0 47 62 W10 10 3 1 W24 241 W12 2527 P 08/30-03 37 0 0 46 61 W10 10 3 1 W23 210 W13 2224 P 08/30-04 37 0 0 46 59 W10 10 3 1 W24 212 W12 2212 P 08/30-05 37 0 0 45 59 W12 12 3 1 W26 214 W12 2200 P 08/30-06 51 10 2 45 61 W12 18 3 2 W28 215 W12 2188 P 08/30-07 51 10 2 46 64 W13 20 3 2 W29 789 W13 10285 P 08/30-08 51 10 2 50 64 W13 21 3 2 W30 1363 W15 18382 P 08/30-09 51 10 2 53 61 W13 21 3 2 W30 1937 W16 26479 P 08/30-10 51 10 2 56 56 W12 18 3 2 W29 4016 W17 61698 G 08/30-11 51 10 2 58 52 W10 10 3 2 W28 6096 W17 96917 G 08/30-12 63 30 9 59 48 W 9 9 3 4 W26 8175 W18 132136 V 08/30-13 63 30 9 60 47 W 9 9 3 4 W28 8157 W21 149399 V 08/30-14 63 30 9 61 48 W 9 9 3 4 W30 8138 W23 166663 E 08/30-15 63 30 9 62 48 W10 10 3 4 W30 8120 W26 183926 E 08/30-16 63 30 9 62 50 W10 10 3 4 W26 7466 W25 163865 E 08/30-17 63 30 9 61 52 W12 12 3 4 W23 6813 W24 143804 V 08/30-18 55 30 9 61 53 W12 18 3 4 W20 6159 W23 123743 V 08/30-19 55 30 9 58 56 W12 12 3 4 W17 4798 W20 90902 G 08/30-20 55 30 9 56 58 W12 12 3 4 W16 3437 W17 58062 F 08/30-21 55 30 9 54 58 W10 10 3 4 W17 2076 W14 25222 P 08/30-22 55 30 9 53 57 W 9 9 4 4 W20 1479 W13 17570 P 08/30-23 55 30 9 52 56 W 8 8 5 4 W23 881 W10 9918 P 08/31-00 32 0 0 50 57 W 8 8 5 1 W25 283 W 9 2266 P 08/31-01 32 0 0 48 57 W 8 8 5 1 W26 250 W 9 2021 P 08/31-02 32 0 0 47 57 W 9 9 4 1 W25 216 W 9 1777 P 08/31-03 32 0 0 46 56 W 9 9 3 1 W24 182 W 9 1533 P 08/31-04 32 0 0 46 55 W 9 9 3 1 W25 179 W 9 1503 P 08/31-05 32 0 0 46 55 W10 10 3 1 W25 177 W 9 1472 P 08/31-06 13 0 0 46 55 W10 10 3 1 W26 174 W 9 1442 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/ WR - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.1 INCH /PERCENT/ AT - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E- EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...SAM FLOURNOY REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR .TAG 20110828.LONGS.01/BOU