FNUS73 KDLH 290043
FWSDLH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAGAMI CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
743 PM CDT SUN AUG 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1920 CDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES
AND ONTARIO TONIGHT WILL TRY TO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
OVER THE WILDFIRE LOCATION. HOWEVER A FEW UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES
WILL RIDE ALONG THE JET STREAM AND TRY TO TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS
AND WEAK THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TOMORROW. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA...AND MAY HELP PRODUCE A ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 3 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 11
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1050 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 2600 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78600)
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (168700) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (97000) LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
TEMP............51     62     72     77     77     75
RH..............93     67     49     42     40     45
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..1      5      7      9      10     9
20 FT WIND GUST.       6      14     16     18     16

$$
FORECASTER...CAROL
REQUESTED BY...DOUG MIEDTKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110828.PAGAM.02/DLH