FNUS75 KMSO 290020
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARIANA 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
620 PM MDT SUN AUG 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1741 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION ON
MONDAY WITH MAINLY CLOUD COVER AND A 5 DEGREE COOL DOWN TO
TEMPERATURES. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE FIRE
IN THE AFTERNOON BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE SOUTH. THERE IS
A LITTLE MORE SUPPORT FOR WIND ON MONDAY SO THIS WILL DIFFER FROM
THE MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS OF SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT IS
POSSIBLE TO PASS LATE ON TUESDAY THAT WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES
FOR THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THE FRONT WILL BE
INCREASED WINDS THAT WILL LIKELY BECOME QUITE GUSTY IN THE
AFTERNOON AND COULD CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPCANYON 3-6 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST WINDS 7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWN SLOPE/DOWN CANYON 6-8 MPH
                    BECOMING 3-5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...KITSMILLER
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN JENKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110828.ARIAN.02/MSO