FNUS75 KMSO 281936
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST FORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
136 PM MDT SUN AUG 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1219 PDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR THUNDERSTORMS...

.DISCUSSION...RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS HOT AND DRY OVER
THE FIRE TODAY. SOME MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE IN LATER TODAY AND
PRODUCE SOME THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LIMITED RAINFALL BUT GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS.
UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE APPROACHES.
THIS WAVE WILL IMPACT THE FIRE BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING WITH INCREASED
MOISTURE AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WETTING RAINS ARE NOT EXPECTED
UNLESS DIRECTLY UNDER A STRONGER CORE...BUT BREEZY AND ERRATIC WINDS
WITH LIGHTNING WILL BE A CONCERN THROUGH THE DAY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4-8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-11 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...KOLATA
REQUESTED BY...VICKY  SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110828.EASTF.01/MSO