FNUS75 KMSO 281935
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SADDLE COMPLEX-BRF BURNOUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
135 PM MDT SUN AUG 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1251 MDT ON AUGUST 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...TOWERING CUMULUS THIS HOUR IS A SIGN OF THINGS TO
COME FOR THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SENSIBLE WINDS
WILL REMAIN TERRAIN DRIVEN WITH SPEEDS LESS THAN 5 MPH...BUT ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL
TO CREATE ERRATIC WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN WILL REMAIN LOW THIS
AFTERNOON...BUT INCREASE THIS EVENING/OVERNIGHT. BEST TIMING FOR
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FIRE IS FROM 1500-2400 MDT. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO LINGER PAST
MIDNIGHT...BUT THE STORMS WOULD BE WET IN NATURE AND LESS WINDS.
MONDAY WILL BE COOLER AND UNSETTLED WITH MORE SHOWERS NEAR THE
FIRE THROUGH THE DAY. INCREASE WINDS FROM TIGHTER SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT AND MID LEVEL WINDS MIXING TO THE SURFACE SHOULD BE
EXPECTED IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88 BOTTOM...79-84 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
                    TO 35 MPH NEAR STORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH. ERRATIC AND GUSTY WINDS
                    TO 35 MPH NEAR STORMS THIS EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 BASE...67-72 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST
                    9-11 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.

$$
FORECASTER...MEAD
REQUESTED BY...MIKE BEHRENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110828.SADDL.01/MSO