FNUS72 KMFL 291938
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR EAST EVER MELALEUCA RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
338 PM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1545 EDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE AREA TODAY WILL MOVE
NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TONIGHT AND WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST OF
THE AREA TUESDAY. A SOUTHWEST TO WEST WIND WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND BECOME
LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHEAST TUESDAY.
BUT AS THE RIDGE SLIDES NORTHWARD...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BE PULLED
OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AS WELL WITH SHOWERS LIKELY WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING AND...THOUGH DECREASING LATER TONIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR OVER NIGHT. AT THE MOMENT...SOME SHOWERS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
BURN AREA ARE MOVING NORTHEAST AND THERE COULD BE A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH
-WEST TEMPORARILY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 0200...THEN 2.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     65     65     65     65     65
WEATHER COV.....NUMEROUS CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........SCTTRD CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............89     85     82     80     78     77
RH..............60     67     78     83     90     93
20 FT WIND......SW 5   S 3    S 3    S 2    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5   S 3    S 3    S 2    SE 2   SE 2
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....4500   2400   2400   300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SW 8   SW 5   SW 5   S 6    S 8    S 8
DISPERSION IDX..25     3      3      3      4      4
LVORI...........6      6      6      6      6      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     40     40     40     40     40
LAL.............3      3      3      3      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0800...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 32.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...ROTHFUSS
REQUESTED BY...CLAYTON CAMBLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110829.EASTE.01/MFL