FNUS72 KMLB 290933
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR KISSIMMEE PRAIRIE KP 15...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
533 AM EDT MON AUG 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEAKENING SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND
ALABAMA AND HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE BAHAMA ISLANDS TO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO WILL PRODUCE A SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE BURN
SITE. A LATE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE MAY FORM ALONG THE COAST BUT
BECAUSE OF THE SOUTHWEST FLOW IT WILL NOT MAKE IT VERY FAR FROM
THE COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35.
LVORI...............0.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............76  79  83  86  88  89  91  90  88  87  85  83
RH..............94  85  77  70  66  61  58  58  61  61  65  72
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   8   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.            10  10  10              10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............10.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING CONSIDERABLE
                    CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 2 TO 5
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....23.
LVORI...............0.

$$
FORECASTER...WIMMER
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110829.KISSI.01/MLB