FNUS71 KCTP 310942 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 48...PENNSYLVANIA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 542 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON AUGUST 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... LIGHT WINDS ARE IN STORE FOR THE REGION TODAY...AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER PENNSYLVANIA. AN APPROACHING WARM FRONT WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHWEST MOUNTAINS. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF PENNSYLVANIA THURSDAY AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY OF THE SLOW MOVING WARM FRONT. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE MODERATE TODAY...THEN INCREASE ON THURSDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81. MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 8 MPH. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............58 59 58 55 55 49 38 33 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................68 72 75 77 79 79 80 79 RH..................63 56 49 45 42 41 40 40 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......3 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 3.7 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....3 5 6 7 8 7 6 5 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58. MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. LAL.................NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 2 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............30 23 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 21 25 29 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........ TSTM COV............ TEMP................78 75 73 70 68 66 64 63 62 61 60 60 RH..................42 45 49 53 58 62 67 71 75 78 81 82 20 FT WIND DIR......SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......6 6 5 5 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S SE SE SE SE S S S S S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....7 9 12 10 8 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82. MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1200...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............32 36 37 40 45 50 55 60 62 61 60 58 WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................60 60 61 64 69 74 77 79 80 81 81 80 RH..................84 85 82 75 65 57 52 49 48 48 49 50 20 FT WIND DIR......S SW SW SW S S S S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.3 4.2 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.8 5.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....2 2 2 3 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER CASE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110831.SGL48.01/CTP