FNUS75 KGJT 311544
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LADORE...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
944 AM MDT WED AUG 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0922 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS A LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE ZONE 200...

.DISCUSSION...
A TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT FROM AN APPROACHING
UPPER TROF LOCATED ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS IN TURN
WILL LEAD TO STRONGER WINDS ALOFT REACHING THE SURFACE THIS
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE
SOUTHWEST BOTH DAYS AND GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON MAY EXCEED 30 MPH.
OUTFLOW WINDS FROM STORMS WILL ALSO BE A THREAT THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE BURN SITE LOOK TO RETURN TO THE MID
80S...ABOVE NORMAL...AND LEAD NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
BRIEFLY THIS AFTERNOON AND MOST LIKELY EXCEEDING THESE THRESHOLDS
ON THURSDAY AS RELATATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS DROP WELL BELOW THE 15
PERCENT MARK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) BY EARLY AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 TO 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20% BY MID AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS BY COMING SOUTH BY LATE MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 25
                    MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    35 MPH POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1 THROUGH 1200 THEN 2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........NEAR 60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS NEAR 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT AND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................2 THROUGH 2400 THEN 1.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS NEAR 3O MPH POSSIBLE.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110831.LADOR.01/GJT