FNUS75 KGJT 311409
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAULS CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
809 AM MDT WED AUG 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
STRONGER UPPER TROF WILL PUSH OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS WILL PUSH IN DRIER
AIR ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO...BUT SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE STILL EXPECTED
TO FORM ACROSS THE SAN JUAN MOUNTAIN RANGE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. WITH THE DRIER AIR MOVING IN...GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS FROM THE
STORMS WILL BECOME MORE OF A THREAT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
RUN ABOVE NORMAL WITH WINDS GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST EACH OF THE
NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AT
                    5 TO 15 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL OR LESS THROUGH MID MORNING THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12800 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-61%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR THROUGH MID EVENING THEN BECOMING POOR
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4 IN THE EVENING...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 7000 FT AGL THROUGH MID EVENING THEN DECREASING
                    TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING THROUGH MID MORNING
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR THROUGH MID MORNING THEN INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL THROUGH MID MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 12800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 11 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS TIPTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110831.SAULS.01/GJT