FNUS74 KLIX 311758 FWSLIX SPOT FORECAST FOR N O EAST...CITY OF NEW ORLEANS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 1258 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A TROPICAL WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF TONIGHT AND BY FRIDAY A SURFACE LOW MAY DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THIS SYSTEM WILL IMPACT THE NORTHERN GULF COAST REGION FROM THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THIS SYSTEM. HOWEVER...ALMOST ALL OF THE CURRENT GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE MAIN THREAT ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST REGION WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THURSDAY...AND WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY. CONCERNING THE SMOKE TRANSPORT... WINDS ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN GENERALLY EAST OR EAST SOUTHEASTERLY. THIS WILL TEND TO TRANSPORT SMOKE WEST OR WEST NORTHWEST OVER THE LAKE. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. THE STRONGER WINDS SHOULD ALSO HELP TO MIX OR DISPERSE THE SMOKE SO THAT CONCENTRATIONS REMAIN LOWER THAN OVER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........42 48 48 48 50 50 WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TEMP............92 93 94 94 93 92 RH..............49 47 46 46 47 49 20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E 20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 20 20 20 20 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E EYE LVL WND SPD.8 9 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND GST.15 15 20 20 20 20 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.3 MIX HGT (KM)....1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.6 15 15 15 18 18 TRANS SPD (M/S).3 7 7 7 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........50 52 56 56 59 63 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............91 88 84 82 80 80 RH..............50 57 65 72 79 82 20 FT WIND......E 9 E 8 E 8 E 7 E 6 E 7 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 10 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 9 E 8 E 8 E 7 E 6 E 7 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 15 15 15 10 15 MIX HGT (FT)....6300 2600 2000 2000 1700 1600 MIX HGT (M).....1920 790 610 610 520 490 TRANSPORT WIND..E 18 SE 17 SE 16 SE 16 SE 16 E 16 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 8 SE 8 SE 7 SE 7 SE 7 E 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........63 67 69 69 71 73 WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............80 82 88 90 91 90 RH..............82 79 66 64 60 62 20 FT WIND......E 7 E 10 E 13 E 14 E 14 E 14 20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 25 25 30 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 7 E 10 E 13 E 14 E 14 E 14 EYE LEVEL WIND..15 20 25 25 30 30 MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2400 5400 5400 4500 6600 MIX HGT (M).....490 730 1650 1650 1370 2010 TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 E 16 E 18 E 18 E 22 E 23 TRAN WIND (M/S).E 7 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 10 E 10 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 40 40 $$ FORECASTER...NWS NEW ORLEANS REQUESTED BY...COLLINS SIMONEAUX TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110831.NOEAS.02/LIX