FNUS74 KMAF 010216
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOTOL...NMADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
916 PM CDT WED AUG 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1937 MDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AND LIGHTNING DANGER.

.DISCUSSION...
THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS STILL OVER THE AREA...SO HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND COME FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST.
RECOVERY TONIGHT WILL BE FAIR. MINIMUM RH VALUES FOR THURSDAY
WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER...AND REMAIN ABOVE 15 PERCENT. SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS...BUT THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY ON RADAR IN THE
AREA.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (150000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      7 PM         11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM       TSTORM       NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............93           76           70
RH..............15           31           47
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           S            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10           12           12
20 FT WIND GUST.16
MIX HGT (FT)....12500        500          BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SE           S            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..12           10           6
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
LAL.............3            3            2
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (127400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............67           82           92
RH..............52           22           17
20 FT WIND DIR..W            SE           SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9            10           16
20 FT WIND GUST.             15           25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       3000         10500
TRANS WIND DIR..W            S            SE
TRANS WIND SPD..5            10           9
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         GOOD
LAL.............2            2            1
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (150000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....10           10           10
TEMP............89           77           70
RH..............21           31           44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE           S            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10           9            10
20 FT WIND GUST.15                        15
MIX HGT (FT)....12500        500          BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..S            S            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..12           10           6
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
LAL.............3            3            2
HAINES INDEX....3            3            3

$$

FORECASTER...GUDMESTAD
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110831.SOTOL.01/MAF