FNUS72 KMFL 301839 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR ROADSIDE...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 239 PM EDT TUE AUG 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 31. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EXTREME SOUTH FLORIDA WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS HAS SHIFTED THE LOW LEVEL WIND TO A MORE SOUTHEAST DIRECTION AT THE FIRE SITE. PLENTY OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE IS IN PLACE AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME BUT MORE FAVORED DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE LIGHT WIND FLOW WILL RESULT IN A POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION ALTHOUGH IT MAY BRIEFLY BE GENERALLY GOOD AROUND MIDDAY. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 63 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 32 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM SKY (%).........50 50 65 65 65 60 WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC TEMP............85 90 90 89 87 83 RH..............78 63 63 65 71 80 20 FT WIND......E 2 E 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 2 E 4 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..5 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....2500 4500 4500 4500 4500 2500 MIXNG WIND......SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10 E 12 E 12 DISPERSION IDX..33 54 30 30 33 8 LVORI...........4 4 4 4 7 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 60 60 60 20 LAL.............2 4 4 4 4 2 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 77. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE EVENING. LVORI...............7. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 89. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 65 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 21 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 30 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER ADAMS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110831.ROADS.01/MFL