FNUS71 KCTP 011046 FWSCTP SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 48...PENNSYLVANIA GAME COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 646 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE. .DISCUSSION... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...BRINGING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES...THE CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM AND HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. A SOUTHERLY WIND WILL REMAIN LIGHT TODAY. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BRING DRY WEATHER FOR MOST OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITIES HIGH ON FRIDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76. MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 1700...THEN 9-15 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............67 69 70 71 72 69 63 60 WEATHER COV.........SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............ISO ISO CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC TEMP................68 70 72 73 75 74 73 72 RH..................75 71 67 64 61 64 66 69 20 FT WIND DIR......E NE E S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD......1 0 1 2 3 6 7 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 2.8 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.9 5.1 4.7 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S SW SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD.....5 6 6 6 6 8 10 12 LAL.................3 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66. MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LAL.................9-15 STRIKES UNTIL 2000...THEN 1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 2300...THEN NO TSTMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 400-1100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM SKY (%).............57 55 53 53 54 54 55 55 55 55 55 55 WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW TSTM COV............SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH TEMP................72 71 71 70 70 69 69 68 68 67 67 67 RH..................70 72 74 75 76 76 77 78 79 79 80 80 20 FT WIND DIR......S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD......8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT).......3.7 2.3 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW S S S S S S SE SE SE S S TRANSP WIND SPD.....12 10 9 10 12 12 9 8 6 6 6 7 LAL.................3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83. MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE. LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1700...THEN 1-8 STRIKES. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).............54 54 54 61 56 51 46 41 39 39 40 40 WEATHER COV......... SCH WEATHER TYPE........ RW TSTM COV............ SCH TEMP................67 67 67 69 72 74 77 79 81 82 82 82 RH..................81 81 82 79 76 72 67 63 60 58 58 57 20 FT WIND DIR......W W W SW S S S S S S SE SE 20 FT WIND SPD......7 7 7 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.2 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.4 TRANSP WIND DIR.....S S S S SW SW S SE SE SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.....6 6 5 3 2 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 LAL.................1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...FITZGERALD REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER CASE TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110901.SGL48.01/CTP