FNUS73 KDLH 011219 FWSDLH SPOT FORECAST FOR POCKET LAKE...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN 719 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0709 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... COOLING AT 10000 FEET IS ALLOWING SOAKING RAINS TO SPREAD UP THE RAINY RIVER VALLEY AND INTO THE ARROWHEAD TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY IS HIGH AND THERE IS A POSSIBILITY THAT EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN THIS AFTEERNOON. THE SOUTH WIND WILL BE OVER 15 MPH...BUT RAIN WILL MITIGATE FIRE DANGER. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THIS AREA JUST AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT THE FRONT IS DISORGANIZED. WINDS WILL DECREASE EARLY THIS EVENING AND SHIFT WHILE REMAINING WEAK LATE TONIGHT. POST FRONTAL WINDS WILL BEGIN AFTER DAYBREAK FRIDAY AND INCREASE TO OVER 15 MPH DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER...THE RAPID APPROACH OF THE NEXT SYSTEM WILL CAUSE WINDS TO RAPIDLY DECREASE LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87. MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 13 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2100 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11400) INCREASING TO GOOD (36500) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (59100) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (37600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............58 67 75 81 84 84 RH..............100 87 76 69 65 65 20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S 20 FT WIND SPD..5 9 12 14 14 14 20 FT WIND GUST.9 16 21 22 22 22 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH LATE BECOMING WEST 4 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 11 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING WEST LATE. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (18100) DECREASING TO POOR (3700) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO FAIR (15600) LATE. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM TEMP............79 70 66 64 62 61 RH..............74 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE E NW W 20 FT WIND SPD..11 7 5 2 3 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 13 9 3 5 12 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 40 PERCENT. MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72. MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54900) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86100) LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (98600) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (80600) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM TEMP............60 63 66 69 70 69 RH..............100 84 65 51 45 47 20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 14 14 14 9 20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 24 24 22 16 $$ FORECASTER...PETER REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110901.POCKE.01/DLH