FNUS75 KGJT 011609
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LADORE...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1009 AM MDT THU SEP 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0933 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
DEEP MIXING AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL TAP INTO STRONGER
WINDS ALOFT AND LEAD TO OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH BY THE
MID AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE DRY AIR MASS WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS DROPPING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT TO CREATE
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AT ELEVATIONS WHERE FUELS ARE
SUSCEPTIBLE. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SOUTH OF THE BURN
SITE...BUT OUTFLOW WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND THERE IS A CHANCE OF
A STRONGER STORM PUSHING A BOUNDARY INTO THE AREA. ANOTHER CONCERN
WILL BE THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT THIS EVENING...WHICH SHOULD BRING
A DISTINCT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH...BUT WINDS SHOULD BE ON THE
DECREASE AS THIS HAPPENS. DRY CONDITIONS AND OCCASIONAL WINDS GUSTS
NEAR 25 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30%) THROUGH LATE MORNING THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH THIS
                    MORNING WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH MID
                    MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AND INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING...SHIFTING
                    TO THE NORTH AROUND 10 PM AND DECREASING TO 5 TO
                    10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH A FEW GUST NEAR
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG INTERAGENCY DISPATCH CENTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110901.LADOR.01/GJT