FNUS72 KMFL 311551 FWSMFL SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE ISLAND RX...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 1151 AM EDT WED AUG 31 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA NEAR LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND THE NORTHERN EXTENT OF A TROPICAL WAVE THAT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL KEEP THE REGION NEAR THE FIRE SITE IN A LIGHT SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WIND FLOW WITH PLENTY OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE. THIS WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE PRESCRIBED BURN BUT FAVORING THE LIGHT NIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE LIGHT WIND FLOW WILL ALSO YIELD MOSTLY POOR TO FAIR DISPERSION. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 91. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................1 UNTIL 0800...THEN 2 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-5000 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 39. LVORI...............5. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM SKY (%).........50 50 65 65 65 50 WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE TEMP............91 91 91 88 84 80 RH..............62 60 60 66 74 85 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 10 10 10 EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5 E 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 NE 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..10 10 15 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3800 3800 5000 4200 4200 2700 MIXNG WIND......E 10 E 10 E 14 E 12 E 12 NE 9 DISPERSION IDX..32 32 42 36 36 22 LVORI...........5 5 5 5 6 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 40 40 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 76. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 90 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. LAL.................3. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1100 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 6. LVORI...............6. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 90. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. LAL.................3. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH. DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 13 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 36 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 33. LVORI...............4. CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT. $$ FORECASTER...BRABANDER REQUESTED BY...JACK WEER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110901.PINEI.01/MFL