FNUS73 KMQT 011404 FWSMQT SPOT FORECAST FOR M-2 NORTH...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI 1004 AM EDT THU SEP 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...MORNING FOG REMAINS ACROSS DELTA...ALGER...AND SCHOOLCRAFT COUNTIES. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE M-2 NORTH BURN AREA IS ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE FOG...WHICH SHOULD LIFT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS SHOULD BECOME SOUTHERLY AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES...AND INCREASE NEAR 10 MPH BY 1600. HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN HIGH...WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S STRETCHING ALL THE WAY THROUGH CENTRAL WISCONSIN...AND LOW 70S OVER MINNESOTA AND SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. A WARM FRONT SET UP ACROSS IOWA AND ILLINOIS WILL SHIFT NORTHWARD LATE THIS EVENING. THIS WILL INTRODUCE STRONGER WINDS OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH A COUPLE HUNDRED FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE...WITH WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT. AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT WEST TO EAST OVER THE M-2 NORTH BURN AREA AROUND 1200 TO 1400 FRIDAY...WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND THE STRONGER WINDS MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY FOG EARLY...OTHERWISE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 AT IGNITION...MAX 83. MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO 19 MPH LATE. VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR (260) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (370). LAL.................1. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (EDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM SKY (%).........25 22 24 26 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............80 82 82 80 RH..............56 54 54 57 GENERAL WIND....S 6 S 7 S 7 S 7 GENERAL GUST.... 10 12 VINDX KT-FT/100.260 352 366 338 MIX HGT (FT)....4300 4400 3700 2400 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 68. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 98 PERCENT. GENERAL WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21 TO 40 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (49). TIME (EDT) 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM SKY (%).........26 30 34 38 47 60 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............79 74 71 70 69 68 RH..............59 68 77 86 91 98 GENERAL WIND....S 7 S 7 S 7 S 8 S 8 S 9 GENERAL GUST....15 15 15 15 17 17 VINDX KT-FT/100.275 216 167 73 52 90 $$ FORECASTER...KF REQUESTED BY...GARY LINDSAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110901.M2NOR.01/MQT