FNUS73 KSGF 011145 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR BUTLER HOLLOW...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 645 AM CDT THU SEP 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... CLEAR SKIES AND VERY WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP TO BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT TODAY...BEFORE RECOVERING AFTER SUNDOWN TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE SOMEWHAT GUSTY FROM TO SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST TODAY... WITH SUSTAINED 20 FT VALUES AROUND 10 MPH...WITH A FEW GUSTS AS HIGH AS 15 MPH DURING PEAK HEATING THIS AFTERNOON. SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...THOUGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE SOMEWHAT HIGHER. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....93 AT IGNITION...MAX 101. MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN FROM SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............93 98 100 98 RH..............41 32 29 31 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 7 S 7 S 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....2200 5200 6700 6800 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 10 S 10 S 12 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....5 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 74. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 63 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............95 90 85 82 80 77 RH..............34 43 51 53 55 59 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 5 S 4 S 3 S 3 SE 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....6400 4300 1300 600 500 300 TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 S 14 S 17 S 20 S 18 S 15 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 98. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............74 79 89 95 98 98 RH..............67 62 48 38 33 32 20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 4 S 5 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 900 3100 5000 5700 TRANSPORT WIND..S 10 S 7 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 53 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 16 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............94 88 83 81 78 76 73 78 88 94 96 95 RH..............37 46 55 61 64 66 73 64 46 37 34 36 20 FT WIND......S 5 SE 5 SE 5 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 SE 2 SE 2 S 2 S 4 S 5 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5 5 5 5 5 10 MIX HGT (FT)....5300 4800 4300 1900 400 300 200 600 1900 4100 5600 5900 TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 10 S 14 S 16 S 15 S 12 S 7 S 5 S 5 S 5 S 5 SE 5 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...BOXELL REQUESTED BY...JESS REGISTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110901.BUTLE.01/SGF